Should the Golden Eagles be your March Madness dark horse pick to win it all?
Coming from the guy who wrote that Duke would be unstoppable exactly four days before Zion Williamson blew through his shoe (and almost his knee) and the Blue Devils were demolished at home by their rivals…hear me out.
The 11th-ranked Marquette Golden Eagles (22-4, 11-2 Big East) should be on your radar when it comes time to fill out your March Madness bracket this year.
All of the hype this year has been about Duke (and rightfully so), but perhaps this is the year where none of the perennial contenders (Duke, UNC, Kentucky, Kansas) actually seal the deal and cut down the nets. Maybe this is the year where the hype and pressure is so high that these teams look right past their 2nd round opponent toward the Sweet 16, Elite 8, and Final Four and trip up, ending the journey just as soon as it started.
Who would be there to pick up that mantle? Marquette would gladly take that, thank you very much.
The Golden Eagles have somehow flown under the radar with a 22-4 record, and I think that’s mostly due to the blue bloods being so good this year. They are currently alone in first place in the Big East, leading Villanova by a half game as of this posting, and the Wildcats seem to be trending the wrong way. Those two will meet in Philadelphia this coming Wednesday, and that game will likely decide the Big East regular season champion.
If you look at Marquette’s schedule, they don’t have any bad losses. The one you might be able to make a case for is the loss against Indiana (13-13) in November, but here’s a counterargument: it was the third game of the season, the Hoosiers started the season 12-2 (before dropping seven straight), and the game was in Bloomington. As a graduate of Indiana, I’m all too familiar with the early season home matchup against a ranked team. The Hoosiers almost always show up and show out for those games, and they beat Marquette handily while holding Markus Howard to 18 points. I don’t count that as a bad loss.
The other three losses? A neutral site loss to the then-second-ranked Kansas Jayhawks in the preseason NIT, and two losses to St. John’s, who currently sit with a 19-8 record overall and in third place in the Big East.
What about good wins? They rebounded from the Kansas loss to beat Louisville in the preseason NIT 3rd-place matchup in overtime. They defeated the then-12th-ranked Kansas State Wildcats in a game in which Markus Howard dropped 45 points. A week later, they beat another team ranked #12: in-state rival Wisconsin. The Golden Eagles dropped 103 points on a very good Buffalo team in December that, you may remember, knocked out Arizona in the first round of the NCAA Tournament last season (and by the way, that was another Markus Howard 45 point game). And, just 13 days ago, they knocked off Villanova by one point at home.
While the Big East may not necessarily be the death trap that it’s been in recent years, Marquette is taking care of business in conference, and that’s what good teams do. CBS Sports has Marquette with the 39th toughest schedule this year, which isn’t great, but isn’t bad, and they also have Marquette’s RPI rank at 14. Essentially what that says is that the Golden Eagles are a good team playing decent competition, and they’re winning the games they should be winning.
Okay, so what else does Marquette having going for it?
Let’s not forget about National Player of the Year candidate Markus Howard, who has been referenced a few times already. Howard is averaging 25.7 points per game to go along with 4 assists per game. To put that into perspective, he’s currently the 4th-highest scorer in the nation, trailing guys from Chris Clemons of Campbell, who is one of the all-time leading scorers in NCAA history, Antoine Davis of Detroit Mercy, and Justin Wright-Foreman of Hofstra. For further perspective, Marquette great Dwyane Wade (you may have heard of him) averaged a measly 21.5 points per game when he led Marquette to the Final Four in 2003, its first trip there since winning the title in 1977. Howard also has eight 30+ point games this season, including a career-high 53 against Creighton.
So, uh, he’s good. And he very well could carry a Marquette team through the tournament in a Kemba Walker-esque style. But he’s not the only threat the Golden Eagles have.
The Hauser brothers are the next two high scorers. Sam, a junior, is averaging 15.1 points per game and leads the team in rebounding with 6.7 boards per contest. Sam Hauser also dropped a season-high 31 points in a January victory at Georgetown. Joey, a freshman, averages just under 10 points per game, registering at 9.8. He’s shooting 43.8% from beyond the arc, which is just a shade under the team leader – Markus Howard – who is shooting 43.9% from three point land, though we should note that Howard has made more 3-pointers (97) than Joey Hauser has attempted (80). Forwards Sacar Anim (8.2 ppg) and Theo John (6.2 ppg) round out the scoring for the Golden Eagles.
Marquette has a very good chance to win their last five games of the season and enter the Big East tournament as the #1 seed with a 27-4 overall record. From there, anything could happen, as anything is wont to do in college basketball in the month of March.
Marquette also has excellent value in the betting world, if that’s your cup of tea. Oddsshark currently has them at +3500 to win the tournament, so if you’re really feeling good about the Golden Eagles after reading this, go put $10 on them in a futures bet and see if you can’t just walk away with $350 at season’s end. You’ll definitely be rooting harder for the 8,000 student Catholic school if you put a little money on them, I can promise you that.
As I’ve mentioned a few times here, anything can happen in March, and anyone who has followed college basketball for some time understands that. But when the brackets are rolled out on St. Patrick’s Day and Marquette draws a 3 or 4 seed in a region with a team like Duke, or Kentucky, or Tennessee, or Gonzaga…don’t overlook the damage that Markus Howard and the Golden Eagles can do. If you ignore them, they might just be the team this year that makes you crumple up the bracket and toss it in the trash (probably missing your first shot and having to embarrassingly pick it up off the ground too, let’s be honest).
Watch out, college basketball fans. You’ve been warned.
In a division that has recently been dominated by Cleveland, watch out for a new champion
The 2018 American League Central Division was one of the worst divisions in baseball history. Cleveland won the crown (their 3rd straight) by 13 games while winning only 91 themselves, and they were the only team to finish above .500. Two teams – the Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals – finished with 100+ losses, and Detroit lost 98.
However, 2019 looks like it is shaping up to be a little different. On paper, Cleveland is still the favorite, and it seems most people are predicting the Indians to win a 4th straight division title, but every other team got better this offseason, and we may just be surprised at season’s end who sits atop the division.
Without further ado, let’s get into Midwest Sports Pulse’s second baseball preview.
Projected record: 88-74
For what it’s worth, the Minnesota Twins could just as easily struggle through the season and finish under .500, making this pick look, well, stupid.
That said, there’s been a lot of hype around the Twins this offseason, and while much of their roster remains unproven, they just might have enough pure talent to sneak past Cleveland and win their first AL Central crown since 2010.
Offensively, the Twins lost Brian Dozier in the middle of 2018 when they traded him to the Dodgers. Dozier went on to sign with the Nationals this offseason. While his numbers dwindled last year, Dozier hit 42 and 34 home runs in 2016 and 2017 respectively, and those are numbers that are not easily replaceable.
Another piece that’s missing in Minnesota for the first time in 15 years is Joe Mauer. Mauer retired at the end of the 2018 season with a career .306 average. He was a six-time All-Star and won the Most Valuable Player award in 2009. While the production may not have been quite as high in 2018, a 15-year vet like Mauer is hard to replace in the lineup and in the clubhouse.
To counter those two, the Twins signed second baseman Jonathan Schoop to a one-year deal worth $7.5 million. Schoop was an All-Star in 2017 with Baltimore, but comes off a year in which he hit .233. Obviously, Minnesota is hoping he’ll be able to revive himself to his 2017 numbers (.293, 32 home runs, 105 RBI).
Another big signing for the Twins this offseason was designated hitter Nelson Cruz. Over the past five seasons (the four most recent with Seattle and 2014 in Baltimore), Cruz has hit 203 home runs, which tops baseball during that span. Cruz, 38, hasn’t seemed to let his age slow him down, and if he stays healthy, he’s likely to have another season around that 35-40 home runs mark.
The Twins have a lot of young, talented guys on their roster, including Byron Buxton, Eddie Rosario, Max Kepler, Jorge Polanco, and Miguel Sano. If those five can stay healthy, be productive at the plate, and play solid defense all season, the Twins will have a shot at winning 90+ games.
The pitching staff leaves a little to be desired, but they return their top three starters from last year in Jose Berrios (12-11, 3.84 ERA), Kyle Gibson (10-13, 3.62 ERA), and Jake Odorizzi (7-10, 4.49 ERA). The pitching staff also includes Michael Pineda, who signed in December of 2017 but missed all of last year while recovering from Tommy John surgery and a torn meniscus in his right knee. While the Twins have not set a date for Pineda’s return, he started pitching live batting practice this week, and is hoping to be back sooner rather than later.
All in all, if the Twins can stay healthy and keep their growing pains to a minimum, they just might surprise the Indians and keep Cleveland out of the playoffs for the first time since 2015.
Projected record: 85-77
In essentially the same thing I said about the Twins above, the Indians could very easily prove me wrong, skate through the 2019 season, and win the AL Central for a 4th straight year. They have the talent to do just that, and by season’s end, their win total could easily be in the mid-90s.
The problem is, Cleveland lost a lot of offense from 2018 to now, and they didn’t do much to replace it this offseason. With Michael Brantley and Edwin Encarnacion both off to the American League West, those two alone combined for 49 home runs and 183 RBI last year. When you factor in that Yonder Alonso and Yan Gomes both left as well, those numbers jump up to 88 home runs and 314 RBI. That’s a lot of production to lose in one offseason.
To be fair, Cleveland did acquire Jake Bauers from Tampa Bay in the offseason. Bauers, 23, was one of the Rays top prospects, and came to Cleveland in a three-team trade that also included Carlos Santana coming from Seattle. Santana (not to be confused with the musician) was traded twice in the offseason just 10 days apart. He hit 24 home runs and drove in 86 runs with Philadelphia last season.
The Cleveland pitching staff is still one of the best in baseball, boasting Corey Kluber, Carlos Carrasco, Trevor Bauer, and Mike Clevinger. They lost Josh Tomlin to Milwaukee in free agency, but managed to add Tyler Clippard to the bullpen. Brad Hand returns as the likely closer, having saved 32 of 39 chances in his time with both the Padres and Indians in 2018.
Cleveland’s pitching is what will most likely get them back to the promised land (if they are able to stay healthy) and if the offense outperforms its projections. It helps having an MVP-caliber player like Francisco Lindor in your lineup, but he’s also likely to miss the beginning of the season while dealing with a moderate strain of his right calf. His likely return is mid-April, given that everything goes well.
Don’t sleep on the Indians in 2019, but don’t be surprised if they underperform and miss the playoffs either.
Chicago White Sox
Projected record: 80-82
I mean, come on.
How else would this piece start out?
As of yesterday (February 20th), Bob Nightengale of the USA Today has reported that the White Sox are “out” on the Bryce Harper sweepstakes. It seems increasingly likely that Harper will be in Philadelphia next season, but it was fun for White Sox fans to get their hopes up about Harper, and Manny Machado, who just signed with the Padres for $300 million.
But…if somehow the Sox got back in on Harper and signed him, they immediately become AL Central favorites. Harper would boost them to the top without any doubt.
As it stands now, Chicago is one piece away from really competing. I think by next season, they’ll have that one piece, whether it comes from free agency next year or the farm system.
The core of the White Sox is much like the Twins – young, talented, and ready to prove themselves. Yoan Moncada is one of those young talents, but he desperately needs to cut back on strikeouts this year, having K’d a whopping 217 times in 2018.
Jose Abreu figures to be the veteran presence for the White Sox this season. The 32-year-old hit 22 home runs last season, which is actually his lowest total since joining the White Sox in 2014. The Sox also added the aforementioned Yonder Alonso from Cleveland this offseason, who hit 23 home runs for the Indians last year.
Tim Anderson probably benefits the most from Manny Machado signing with the Padres, as he figured to lose most (or all) of his playing time in Chicago. Another name to watch is Leury Garcia, who will serve as the utility guy for the White Sox.
The addition of Jon Jay will help the White Sox initially, as he figures to be the starter in left field. But the real question will be how long Jay holds on to that spot, with super prospect Eloy Jimenez waiting in the wings. (For the record, I’m still bummed the Cubs included him in the Quintana trade.)
Jimenez is in a similar position as Kris Bryant was in 2015: if he doesn’t start the season with Chicago, the White Sox will have an extra year of control over his contract. He’s unlikely to be on the Opening Day roster, but it would be shocking if he isn’t with the team by the end of April. Between Double-A and Triple-A stints last year, Jimenez hit .337 and smashed 22 home runs with 75 runs batted in. He very much figures to be the superstar of the future for Chicago.
Carlos Rodon and Ivan Nova are the veterans of the pitching staff, but the rest of the hurlers are fairly young. Again, like Jimenez, the White Sox farm system is loaded with top-notch talent, and it won’t be long until we see the likes of Dylan Cease (also part of the Quintana trade) and Michael Kopech in the rotation.
The White Sox could surprise everyone and win the Central this year, but they’re more suited to compete starting in 2020 and running for quite a few years after that.
Kansas City Royals
Projected record: 64-98
If you look at Kansas City’s roster, you’ll find a few familiar names from a team that won the 2015 World Series (people seem to forget that). Alex Gordon is still there, perennial All-Star Salvador Perez is still behind the plate, and Danny Duffy still controls one of the top spots in the rotation.
And…that’s about it.
The Royals have followed the path of a lot of recent champions, going all in for a period of 2-3 years, winning a title, and pretty much immediately falling apart. Since 2015, they’ve traded away or lost to free agency most of that World Series core. Unfortunately for Kansas City, their farm system still needs improvement.
A year ago, some considered them to have the worst farm system in baseball. For 2019, Bleacher Report gives them the #24 spot, with three Top 100 prospects in the system. Two of those top three – Khalil Lee and MJ Melendez – are still a few years away from making “the Show” as every day players. Arguably their top prospect, Brady Singer, was just drafted 18th overall in the 2018 MLB Draft, so he’s still a ways away from making an impact in the rotation as well.
The Royals signed speedy outfielder Billy Hamilton to a one-year deal this offseason. Hamilton, a career .245 hitter, is best known for his ability to steal bases, having stolen between 56 and 59 bases each year from 2014 to 2017. Last season, Hamilton managed to swipe 34 bases in his last year with the Reds.
Former Cub Jorge Soler could add some power to the lineup, if he’s able to stay healthy. Soler struggled at the plate in 2017 before rebounding in 2018, though he still split some time between Kansas City and Omaha.
The pitching staff could use some improvement, with Duffy and Ian Kennedy heading up the rotation. The Royals do return all five starters from last season, but none of them finished the year with an ERA under 4.26. Brad Keller started 20 games and appeared in another 21 out of the bullpen, and he was arguably the Royals best pitcher, going 9-6 with a 3.08 ERA.
The best offseason additions for the Royals were both pitchers. Kansas City re-signed Kyle Zimmer in January, and Zimmer is looking to come back from multiple injuries and make an impact. The other signing was closer Brad Boxberger, who joined the Royals at the beginning of February. Boxberger had 32 saves last season for the Arizona Diamondbacks, but had his career high in 2015 with Tampa Bay, when he saved 41 games.
The Royals are still a few years away from competing for a playoff spot again, but they could lose fewer than 100 games this year, so…progress!
Projected record: 61-101
It’s hard to think things could get worse for a team that lost 98 games last season, but the Detroit Tigers may just be in that position. This is another team with a lot of young talent, but it’s mostly unproven, and Detroit didn’t do much to offset that issue this offseason, even with the recent signing of Josh Harrison.
Miguel Cabrera will still be the most well-known name in the Tigers lineup, and he’s coming off of an injury-shortened season. Cabrera ruptured his left biceps tendon swinging last year and had surgery, so it remains to be seen how effective he’ll be at the plate. A career .316 hitter with 465 home runs isn’t anything to slouch at, but time will tell.
Other offensive bright spots may include Harrison, Nick Castellanos, new signee Jordy Mercer, and potentially Jeimer Candelario. Castellanos hit .298 with the Tigers last year, but hitting was one of the major struggles for Detroit last season. With a young roster, they’re likely to see the same struggles, but getting some of those guys the every day experience will be invaluable for the future. Watch for the likes of Grayson Greiner, JaCoby Jones, and Mikie Mahtook to make an impact in the years to come.
The pitching staff for Detroit has potential to be better than last season. Michael Fulmer, Jordan Zimmermann, and Matt Boyd return, while the Tigers signed Tyson Ross and Matt Moore this offseason. None of Detroit’s starters finished with more wins than losses last year, and Ross had the best ERA of any of the likely starters this year, though it was still 4.15.
The future is bright in Detroit, with two top 50 prospects that may arrive sooner rather than later. Last year’s number one overall pick, right-handed pitcher Casey Mize, has an outside shot to see the Majors before the season’s end, though he’s a safer bet to be called up in 2020. Matt Manning, another right-handed pitcher, won’t be far behind.
But until that point, and until the Tigers develop their offense a little more, expect more heartache at Comerica Park this year.
Today, we’ll kick off Midwest Sports Pulse’s MLB season preview with the American League West division. It’s tough to say that this division is at all competitive; in fact, it’s hard to say that any team has a chance outside of Houston. The Astros are built solidly from top to bottom, but their window to win may be closing sooner rather than later.
The only AL West team that might give them some fits this year is the Oakland Athletics. We’ll get into that more in a bit.
Outside of the Astros and A’s, this division isn’t going to produce much. One team is in a clear rebuild while the other two are still missing a few key pieces to be able to compete. Below, we’ll work through perhaps the weakest division from top to bottom in baseball, complete with record predictions and what to expect.
Projected record: 102-60
If you’re a baseball fan like me, watching the Astros evolve over the last eight years has been incredible. The Astros won 56, 55, and 51 games from 2011-2013, which loaded them up with high draft picks. They promptly used those to rebuild and fortify their roster with the likes of Carlos Correa, Alex Bregman, and George Springer.
Coming off of two straight AL West crowns, I fully expect the Astros to threepeat. I thought at the end of last season that they might knock off the Red Sox in the ALCS and win their second straight World Series title, but that didn’t quite pan out. I see no reason why they won’t be back in the playoffs as division champs again this year.
This offseason, the Astros signed outfielder Michael Brantley, which gives them more depth beyond the dirt. The biggest question that Houston faces in the immediate future is setting their rotation. The Astros have a few big names with Justin Verlander and Gerritt Cole already. It isn’t out of the question that they might re-sign 2015 Cy Young winner Dallas Keuchel, but beyond that, the Astros may be looking for a few more starters. Houston signed Wade Miley at the beginning of February, but if Keuchel leaves, that’s a big hole to fill.
After this season, the Astros face a whole host of new problems. Both Verlander and Cole become free agents after the 2019 season. George Springer and Josh Reddick join the free agency pool after 2020, and young superstars Carlos Correa and Alex Bregman will shortly be eating into the payroll with what they earn in arbitration.
But for now, the AL West crown runs through Houston.
Projected record: 93-69
The Oakland Athletics are the only team that might give Houston a run for their money this season, but I think they are one or two pieces away from a division championship. To be fair to the A’s, if Houston was still in the NL Central instead of the AL West, they wouldn’t be a piece or two away from a division crown, but the Astros are just that good.
Oakland won 97 games last season under Bob Melvin and clinched a Wild Card spot in the American League playoffs before losing that game to the New York Yankees. This team has a lot of the same key components as last year and a few interesting additions that will make them competitive in 2019.
Khris Davis is certainly the biggest factor in the offense, having hit 40+ home runs in each of the last three seasons (including a career-high 48 last year). The A’s also brought in Jurickson Profar from a division rival (Texas), and they hope that he’ll finally become the cornerstone-type player that has always been expected. (For the record, when Profar was first brought up in 2012, I remembered thinking, “Man, that guy was a stud in the Little League World Series.” Those Curacao teams were STACKED.)
Another key addition for the A’s was Marco Estrada, who will help the starting rotation. Estrada was an All-Star in Toronto in 2016, though he struggled last season. He’s also 35, but the A’s are hoping he’ll provide some stability to their pitching staff and help them get over the hump this year.
The player to watch this year for Oakland is, without a doubt, Matt Chapman. Since Josh Donaldson left four years ago, the A’s haven’t really had an MVP-caliber player on their roster. Chapman could change that, and he’s a dark horse candidate for MVP if he’s able to produce at the levels expected of him. Watch out for Chapman, but don’t fear the A’s too much this year.
Projected record: 79-83
These next two teams could really be in either order, but I think the Mariners will just edge out the Angels in 2019.
One of the biggest questions Seattle has to answer is, “How much does Félix Hernández have left in the tank?”
The 32-year-old ace struggled last year, but has obviously been mostly phenomenal since 2010, and all of that success has come with Seattle. It’s hard to ask for much more, but the Mariners haven’t been able to put a lot together around him during his career.
The Mariners have added a few bats to the lineup to try and replace Nelson Cruz, acquiring outfielder Jay Bruce from the Mets in the Robinson Cano trade and adding Edwin Encarnacion through free agency. Bruce has a couple of Silver Slugger Awards along with a few All-Star appearances. Encarnacion has been one of the most consistent sluggers over the last seven seasons with both Toronto and Cleveland, hammering 263 home runs since 2012. Seattle also has Kyle Seager in that lineup as well, so that trio could be something for opposing pitchers to worry about.
The player to watch this year for Seattle is outfielder Mallex Smith. Admittedly, I am biased in this selection because I watched Smith play for the Fort Wayne Tincaps in 2013 and briefly in 2014, but if he can find all of the tools he needs to be a productive leadoff hitter, he could quickly become a headache for a lot of teams in the American League.
Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
Projected record: 76-86
What do the Angels really have going on besides Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani? This is a team with a couple of the best pure hitters in baseball, but then there is a steep drop off from that point.
The rotation is…not great. I like Tyler Skaggs, and Matt Harvey is a proven starter, but he’ll also be 30 by Opening Day and has already had Tommy John surgery. After those two, who knows what will happen? Trevor Cahill is there as well, but it remains to be seen whether or not he can be effective again as a starter.
Trout has two years left on his deal with the Angels, and after that, I fully expect him to leave LA, or at least the Angels. If I was drafting a team right now and had to pick one player to build around, I would take Trout over Bryce Harper and anyone else in the league. We know (barring injury) that Trout will produce, but the Angels don’t seem to have enough around him to get them anywhere close to the playoffs this year.
Ohtani will be interesting to watch as he enters his second full season in the majors. He hit 22 home runs last year and made a decent effort from the mound, but also underwent Tommy John surgery in November. He likely won’t pitch again this year, but he and the Angels are still hopeful that he might be able to go by Opening Day.
Another huge question mark is Albert Pujols. Pujols is due $28 million this season, which is a lot to pay someone who hasn’t had very productive seasons the last two years. Pujols hit 23 home runs in 2017 and 19 in 2018 before season-ending surgery on his knee. He’s also 39 years old coming into this year, and is under contract with a full no-trade clause through 2022. Albert Pujols is easily one of the best hitters of this generation, and one of the greatest sluggers of all-time, but that’s a lot of money to pay someone who is nearing 40 and not producing the numbers you’d want for $28 million.
The Angels have a lot of talent, but the lack of pitching hurts them greatly. Keep an eye on Justin Bour, the former Marlins and Phillies first baseman, to make an impact for the Angels on offense this year.
Projected record: 62-100
The Texas Rangers…yikes. Where to begin?
This is just a bad team. Besides Joey Gallo, the Rangers don’t have a lot going on. Elvis Andrus has been consistent for the last 10 years, and the Asdrubal Cabrera signing should help the offense a little, but Texas is very obviously in the middle of a rebuild.
The starting pitching doesn’t look too bad on paper, but it’s tough to argue that these pitchers haven’t already peaked. Lance Lynn, Drew Smyly, Shelby Miller, and Edinson Volquez sounds much more menacing in 2013 than in 2019, and any or all of those pitchers could be dealt before the end of July if they are having decent seasons.
There isn’t much more to write about Texas. Keep an eye on Gallo, obviously, but Nomar Mazara might be a name on your radar by the end of the season. He’s hit 20 home runs in each of the last three seasons and has a career .258 batting average. While that alone isn’t great, he’s proven to be consistent and can potentially give the Rangers a boost this season and in the future, given that he’s only 23 years old.
Next up: the AL Central. Stay tuned for it later this week.
Before we start: I reserve the right to write about any team in college basketball, and basketball in general, because…well, I live in Indiana, and basketball is king.
Is anyone surprised by what we’ve seen so far this season? I could have written this over a year ago when Zion committed to Duke and gave them four of the top 12 recruits.
Now, to be fair, I FULLY want the NCAA Tournament to still be played. March Madness is my absolute favorite sporting event, and I treat those first four days of the tournament like the biggest holiday of the year.
That said, this team has been nothing short of special. The 23-point comeback at Louisville this week was just ridiculous. I looked at the score early in the second half, saw Duke was down by 16 at that point, and decided not to turn it on. Instead, I went to bed.
You can imagine my surprise.
As much as I hate to write this, the 2015 Kentucky squad was special. That roster was just unreal. But even though they started the season 38-0 (how’d that season end, by the way?), I think this Duke team has more pure talent than that UK squad, and it’s hard to argue that Duke doesn’t have the best coach in college basketball.
As an opposing coach, how do you game plan for Duke? Of course you have to focus on Zion Williamson, but then what about RJ Barrett, the #1 rated recruit in that class? Sure, focus on RJ. But what about Cam Reddish, the #3 recruit? Not to mention, Tre Jones, the starting point guard, was the 12th-ranked recruit.
It’s almost not fair.
I went to Indiana University for my formal education, and I love the Hoosiers. I wish I could write this story about them, and how incredible they’ve been…but that’s just not reality.
In reality, I would be absolutely shocked if Duke does not win the 2019 NCAA title. Of course, writing this in mid-February is a dangerous game to play. You could all come right back here in a month if Duke loses and shove it in my face. I can take that.
There are some excellent teams in the NCAA this year, including Virginia, Tennessee, Gonzaga, and Kentucky, just to name a few. I just don’t think I would bet against Duke in any of those matchups. They’ve already beaten Virginia twice, and they demolished Kentucky on the season’s opening night. One of Duke’s two losses came to Gonzaga in Maui, so there’s an argument to be made there, but if those two teams were to meet again, I’m just not positive that the Zags could pull it off twice in a year.
But that’s what makes March Madness so special. Anything can happen…literally anything. We used to say anything* could happen (the exception being a 16 seed upsetting a 1 seed), but UMBC erased that asterisk last year.
I would be devastated if Duke lost to a 16 seed in the opening round (assuming they finish the season strong and get a #1 seed), but I’ll never rule it out. Not anymore. I don’t trust anything in March except for the team I draw out of a hat during a school-sanctioned competition.
But let’s be real. It certainly seems that at the end of the year, the only thing we’ll see is more of this.
My goal with Midwest Sports Pulse is to provide sporting news and commentary to you, my valued reader, about the teams you care most about. I intend to cover as much as I possibly can, but starting out, it’s a one man show.
I am always open to suggestions on what or who to write about, what teams I should incorporate here, and what you want to see. Leave a comment or shoot me an email – email@example.com (for now).